Wednesday, October 01, 2014

Aikman Efficiency Ratings

09
AIKMAN COMMENTARY thru  Week 9

The Packers may be undefeated, but with their average defense having been handled by the Chargers last week, they have dropped to 3rd in the Aikman Combined Ratings through Week 9.  
Division-rival Detroit, on bye last week, has slipped into 1st in a close battle that finds just 2.3 points separating the top five teams (Lions, Texans, Packers, Ravens and 49ers).
It should be pointed out that the sum of the NFL’s yards-only offensive and defensive rankings for the Packers (4+30=34) is bettered by 13 teams.
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The Packers do remain atop Aikman Offense and the Ravens lead Aikman Defense.  The Saints surged up into 2nd on offense this week while the 49ers remain 2nd on defense.
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When Troy Aikman started the Aikman Ratings, he was looking for a system that would reward not only teams with flashy, big-yardage offense, but those, like his Cowboys in the 90s, who had a strong running game.  In 2011, the 49ers are not trying to gain as many yards as the Saints or Packers, preferring to control the clock, make first downs and keep the other team’s offense off the field.  
It is a style that has worked for San Francisco even though only six other teams have gained fewer yards.  The Aikman Offense Ratings do not reveal the 49ers to be an offensive juggernaut, but they do place as a solid middle-of-the-pack attack at 16th overall.
Other offenses that the Aikman Ratings like better on offense than the NFL’s yards only method are those of the Bills (4th vs. 12th), Lions (6th vs. 13th) and Falcons (7th vs. 14th).




Aikman Combined Ratings Through Week 9, 2011

                                 --------- Aikman --------       ------- NFL --------
Rank  Record   Team             Combined     Off      Def       Off    Def  Combined
   1     6-2    Lions              167.3     86.5     80.8        13     10     23  
   2     6-3    Texans             166.6     87.5     79.1         8      1      9  
   3     8-0    Packers            166.0     95.2     70.8         4     30     34  
   4     6-2    Ravens             165.6     77.8     87.8        16      2     18  
   5     7-1    49ers              165.0     80.4     84.6        26      9     35  
   6     5-3    Falcons            161.0     85.1     75.9        14     14     28  
   7     5-3    Jets               158.6     78.5     80.2        28      8     36  
   8     5-3    Patriots           158.3     92.0     66.3         2     32     34  
   9     6-2    Giants             157.4     83.1     74.3        11     19     30  
  10     5-3    Bills              156.8     87.6     69.2        12     26     38  
  11     6-2    Bengals            155.3     79.3     75.9        22      4     26  
  12     5-3    Bears              154.8     81.9     72.9        17     23     40  
  13     6-3    Saints             154.5     93.3     61.2         1     15     16  
  14     2-6    Vikings            153.1     82.8     70.3        18     20     38  
  15     3-5    Eagles             150.5     84.9     65.6         3     12     15  
  16     6-3    Steelers           149.8     82.6     67.2         9      3     12  
  17     4-4    Cowboys            149.0     78.3     70.7         7     11     18  
  18     2-6    Panthers           147.9     84.9     63.0         5     18     23  
  19     4-4    Chargers           147.4     81.8     65.7         6      7     13  
  20     4-4    Titans             146.1     79.8     66.3        27     17     44  
  21     3-5    Browns             145.8     73.9     71.9        30      6     36  
  22     4-4    Raiders            144.6     82.1     62.5        10     27     37  
  23     3-5    Redskins           143.3     66.9     76.3        21     13     34  
  24     2-6    Seahawks           141.1     67.3     73.8        29     16     45  
  25     1-7    Dolphins           140.9     72.2     68.7        19     24.5   43.5
  26     3-5    Broncos            140.4     75.5     64.9        20     22     42  
  27     4-4    Buccaneers         140.3     71.9     68.4        15     29     44  
  28     2-6    Cardinals          138.9     72.8     66.1        25     28     53  
  29     4-4    Chiefs             136.4     69.3     67.1        24     21     45  
  30     2-6    Jaguars            134.6     64.2     70.3        32      5     37  
  31     1-7    Rams               129.9     67.4     62.4        23     24.5   47.5
  32     0-9    Colts              123.5     67.4     56.1        31     31     62  



Aikman Offense Ratings Through Week 9, 2011

  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       4      Packers             95.2
   2       1      Saints              93.3
   3       2      Patriots            92.0
   4      12      Bills               87.6
   5       8      Texans              87.5
   6      13      Lions               86.5
   7      14      Falcons             85.1
   8       5      Panthers            84.9
   9       3      Eagles              84.9
  10      11      Giants              83.1
  11      18      Vikings             82.8
  12       9      Steelers            82.6
  13      10      Raiders             82.1
  14      17      Bears               81.9
  15       6      Chargers            81.8
  16      26      49ers               80.4
  17      27      Titans              79.8
  18      22      Bengals             79.3
  19      28      Jets                78.5
  20       7      Cowboys             78.3
  21      16      Ravens              77.8
  22      20      Broncos             75.5
  23      30      Browns              73.9
  24      25      Cardinals           72.8
  25      19      Dolphins            72.2
  26      15      Buccaneers          71.9
  27      24      Chiefs              69.3
  28      23      Rams                67.4
  29      31      Colts               67.4
  30      29      Seahawks            67.3
  31      21      Redskins            66.9
  32      32      Jaguars             64.2

NFL Average                           79.4



Aikman Defense Ratings Through Week 9, 2011

  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       2      Ravens              87.8
   2       9      49ers               84.6
   3      10      Lions               80.8
   4       8      Jets                80.2
   5       1      Texans              79.1
   6      13      Redskins            76.3
   7       4      Bengals             75.9
   8      14      Falcons             75.9
   9      19      Giants              74.3
  10      16      Seahawks            73.8
  11      23      Bears               72.9
  12       6      Browns              71.9
  13      30      Packers             70.8
  14      11      Cowboys             70.7
  15       5      Jaguars             70.3
  16      20      Vikings             70.3
  17      26      Bills               69.2
  18      24.5    Dolphins            68.7
  19      29      Buccaneers          68.4
  20       3      Steelers            67.2
  21      21      Chiefs              67.1
  22      32      Patriots            66.3
  23      17      Titans              66.3
  24      28      Cardinals           66.1
  25       7      Chargers            65.7
  26      12      Eagles              65.6
  27      22      Broncos             64.9
  28      18      Panthers            63.0
  29      27      Raiders             62.5
  30      24.5    Rams                62.4
  31      15      Saints              61.2
  32      31      Colts               56.1

NFL Average                           70.6

Ratings Courtesy of STATS LLC
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