Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Aikman Efficiency Ratings

18

AIKMAN RATINGS COMMENTARY thru Week 6

The Packers, the undefeated defending Super Bowl champions, have regained the top spot in the Aikman Combined Ratings through Week 6 – a result that most observers would feel is justified based on Green Bay’s body of work this year. 

In fact, the top five teams in the Aikman Combined – Green Bay, Detroit, Baltimore, San Francisco and New England – are the same top five teams in most polls by media experts. 

Yet, the NFL continues to measure offensive and defensive performance based on a standard of yards alone.  A blending of the offensive and defensive yards rankings yields a top five of San Diego, Oakland, Dallas, Philadelphia and Baltimore – with the Ravens the only team in the top five in both. 

Troy Aikman founded the Aikman Ratings based on the belief that there had to be a better way than just yards to measure offense and defense, a way that better measured all the qualities that lead to victory. 

This year, as in each year monitored, better than 80% of the teams with higher Aikman Game Ratings (the measure of one team’s offense against their opponents defense) have won their contests while teams gaining more yards are usually victorious about two-thirds of the time. 

Often teams gaining fewer yards build a lead and then allow their opponents some yards, but not points, in the second half. 

For example, last week the Rams outgained the Packers, 424 to 399, but were defeated 24-3, while the Dolphins outgained the Jets, 308 to 296, but were defeated 24-6.  In both contests, the victorious teams, the Packers and Jets, had substantially better Aikman Game Ratings. 

The Rams, for example, scored just three points but saw their official NFL offense ranking rise from 31st to 25th.  They remained last in the Aikman Offense.

 

 

Aikman Combined Ratings Through Week 6, 2011

 

                                 --------- Aikman --------       ------- NFL --------

Rank  Record   Team             Combined     Off      Def       Off    Def  Combined

   1     6-0    Packers            171.8     94.0     77.8         4     23     27 

   2     5-1    Lions              167.8     87.7     80.0        13     12     25 

   3     4-1    Ravens             166.1     77.4     88.7        14      3     17 

   4     5-1    49ers              165.8     81.3     84.5        28     13     41 

   5     5-1    Patriots           164.1     97.0     67.1         1     32     33 

   6     4-2    Bills              159.3     95.4     63.8         9     31     40 

   7     4-2    Giants             158.2     83.6     74.6        12     20     32 

   8     3-3    Texans             155.9     80.5     75.5         8     10     18 

   9     3-3    Falcons            155.8     85.4     70.4        20     22     42 

  10     3-3    Jets               154.1     74.6     79.5        29     11     40 

  11     4-2    Bengals            153.5     77.4     76.1        22      2     24 

  12     1-5    Vikings            152.0     79.2     72.8        23     15     38 

  13     2-3    Browns             151.8     80.8     71.0        24      7     31 

  14     4-1    Chargers           151.7     83.9     67.8         6      4     10 

  15     3-2    Redskins           151.4     70.6     80.8        17      6     23 

  16     4-2    Raiders            151.2     89.9     61.3        11     28     39 

  17     4-2    Steelers           150.1     79.1     71.0        10      1     11 

  18     3-2    Titans             149.1     79.6     69.5        19      9     28 

  19     3-3    Bears              147.5     79.5     68.0        21     29     50 

  20     2-3    Cowboys            146.7     72.8     73.9         7      5     12 

  21     4-2    Saints             146.2     87.6     58.5         2     17     19 

  22     4-2    Buccaneers         145.8     74.9     70.9        15     25     40 

  23     2-4    Eagles             145.1     80.8     64.3         3     14     17 

  24     1-5    Panthers           144.8     83.0     61.8         5     16     21 

  25     2-3    Seahawks           142.8     70.9     71.9        30     18     48 

  26     1-4    Broncos            138.4     75.4     63.0        26.5   24     50.5

  27     1-5    Jaguars            137.8     68.3     69.5        32      8     40 

  28     1-4    Cardinals          136.4     68.4     68.0        18     21     39 

  29     0-6    Colts              134.7     71.1     63.6        31     27     58 

  30     0-5    Dolphins           131.2     66.4     64.8        16     26     42 

  31     2-3    Chiefs             127.8     71.0     56.8        26.5   19     45.5

  32     0-5    Rams               126.2     62.8     63.4        25     30     55 

 

 

 

Aikman Offense Ratings Through Week 6, 2011

 

  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER

   1       1      Patriots            97.0

   2       9      Bills               95.4

   3       4      Packers             94.0

   4      11      Raiders             89.9

   5      13      Lions               87.7

   6       2      Saints              87.6

   7      20      Falcons             85.4

   8       6      Chargers            83.9

   9      12      Giants              83.6

  10       5      Panthers            83.0

  11      28      49ers               81.3

  12       3      Eagles              80.8

  13      24      Browns              80.8

  14       8      Texans              80.5

  15      19      Titans              79.6

  16      21      Bears               79.5

  17      23      Vikings             79.2

  18      10      Steelers            79.1

  19      22      Bengals             77.4

  20      14      Ravens              77.4

  21      26.5    Broncos             75.4

  22      15      Buccaneers          74.9

  23      29      Jets                74.6

  24       7      Cowboys             72.8

  25      31      Colts               71.1

  26      26.5    Chiefs              71.0

  27      30      Seahawks            70.9

  28      17      Redskins            70.6

  29      18      Cardinals           68.4

  30      32      Jaguars             68.3

  31      16      Dolphins            66.4

  32      25      Rams                62.8

 

NFL Average                           79.5

 

 

 

Aikman Defense Ratings Through Week 6, 2011

 

  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER

   1       3      Ravens              88.7

   2      13      49ers               84.5

   3       6      Redskins            80.8

   4      12      Lions               80.0

   5      11      Jets                79.5

   6      23      Packers             77.8

   7       2      Bengals             76.1

   8      10      Texans              75.5

   9      20      Giants              74.6

  10       5      Cowboys             73.9

  11      15      Vikings             72.8

  12      18      Seahawks            71.9

  13       1      Steelers            71.0

  14       7      Browns              71.0

  15      25      Buccaneers          70.9

  16      22      Falcons             70.4

  17       8      Jaguars             69.5

  18       9      Titans              69.5

  19      29      Bears               68.0

  20      21      Cardinals           68.0

  21       4      Chargers            67.8

  22      32      Patriots            67.1

  23      26      Dolphins            64.8

  24      14      Eagles              64.3

  25      31      Bills               63.8

  26      27      Colts               63.6

  27      30      Rams                63.4

  28      24      Broncos             63.0

  29      16      Panthers            61.8

  30      28      Raiders             61.3

  31      17      Saints              58.5

  32      19      Chiefs              56.8

 

NFL Average                           70.5

 

Ratings Courtesy of STATS LLC

 

 

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